[USML Announce] Kerbs Disses King, But Nukes Out On "Projections"
Jeff Winick
jhwinick at aol.com
Mon Mar 17 07:28:41 EDT 2008
We understand all the caveats and the fact that you're not making any
predictions. But who did your computer show as the #1 team? We know
it wasn't Rick. Was it you, by any chance?
The King
Sent from my iPhone
On Mar 17, 2008, at 7:04 AM, springkerb at aol.com wrote:
> I haven't made any attempt at projections. I just plugged in the
> draft rosters. There is, of course, a difference>
>
> Mark
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Brad Jansen <bljansen at gmail.com>
> To: USML Announcements <announce at usml.net>
> Sent: Sun, 16 Mar 2008 9:44 pm
> Subject: [USML Announce] Kerbs Disses King, But Nukes Out On
> "Projections"
>
> Wha..?! We gotta pay for a subscription to Kerbs' World to get
> actual predictions? Is this some teaser or will you tell us your
> Vision and Why We Must Believe In You??
>
> Waiting for The Word,
> Brad The Truth Everett
>
> On Sun, Mar 16, 2008 at 7:48 PM, <springkerb at aol.com> wrote:
> I agree that this is likely to be an interesting and competitive
> year. In fact, my computer projection bears little resemblance to
> Jeff's. I have the Daddies near the top, too, but curiously not in
> first. And, beyond that, my projections would appear to be looking
> at a completely different league.
>
> Mark
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: jhwinick at aol.com
> To: announce at usml.net
> Sent: Sun, 16 Mar 2008 5:14 pm
> Subject: [USML Announce] 2008 Projections - The Preliminary Version
>
> The official Shandler-Winick post draft assessment:
>
> First, an observation. This should be the most wide open race in a
> long while. I don't see anyone with a overwhelming advantage and
> noone who's out of it.
>
> Second, these are preliminary observations. The final projections
> will come shortly after the start of the season.
>
> 11. GOP - Lots of speed, great average, but not nearly enough runs,
> rbis or home runs. Pitching is squarely in the middle of the pack,
> but unless he gets lucky with Percival and Betancourt, he's also
> very light on saves. Probably doesn't have the goods to trade his
> way out of it.
>
> 10. Klein Nine - The problem wasn't the draft, which actually
> wasn't half bad. The problem was coming into the draft with almost
> no undervalue. The offense is not good: a ridiculous amount of
> power, but only a middling amount of rbi's; no speed, a
> corresponding lack of runs and an average that is a complete
> disaster. Lots of wins, lots of strikeouts but at what cost? Lousy
> ERA, Lousy Ratio and only one closer means middle of the pack, at
> best, in saves. Not enough in the bank to turn this around this
> year, but plenty of tools to come back strong in 2009.
>
> 9. Lake Michigan Calamari - Other than an absence of speed and lots
> of saves, middle of the pack in nearly every category. If
> Bonderman and Escobar stay healthy, the pitching might be fairly
> good, but with only 5 drafted starters, they had better be healthy.
> Might catch a break with Adenhart, who stands a shot at filling in
> for Lackey. The offense is O L D. 9 players older than 30, so the
> future is now.
>
> 8. Nukes - Light on power, lousy average, but middle of the pack or
> better everywhere else. The season probably turns on where Roberts
> lands. If he stays in the AL, this is a team that could challenge.
> If not, this team is going to be one to watch over the next few years.
>
> 7. Block's Bombers - The problem is the pitching. Its Bedard and
> then hold your breath. Even after plugging in Joba, there are alot
> of holes. Hoey, Niemann, Morrow and Perkins are all just as likely
> to be relievers as starters. That leaves the Bombers starved for
> wins. Surprisingly, despite the heavy balance of relievers, the
> Bombers also have lousy ERA and Ratio. That's what Todd Jones, Joe
> Borowski and a bunch of rookies will do. Other than being light on
> speed, the offense looks good. A nice core of prospects and keepers
> means this team can contend.
>
> 6. Brats - No wins and no runs. But lots of everything else. The
> team is fairly young with lots of upside. Thames and Shannon
> Stewart at two of the outfield slots is a bit disconcerting, but
> there's a lot to like here. Not sure there's enough to win, but
> with a little bit of luck, this team could contend.
>
> 5. Angry Young Men - The first of the teams that should be serious
> contenders for the title. The AYM had the best retention roster
> until they spent $35 on extended salaries. That should mean this
> team contends for the next few years, but it does push it back in
> the pack as far as contending this year. The offense is excellent,
> but the pitching is a bit scary. Verlander and Halliday is a great
> start, but it then gets scary. Colon, Mussina, Floyd and Silva
> means that there are going to be some frightening boxscores for this
> team. And it shows in the projections. The best projected offense
> and the worst projected pitching. The pieces are here to win, but
> it will take a willingness to sacrifice the future a bit.
>
> 4. Berliners - Its hard to overcome an $18 handicap, so sacrifices
> were necessary. Drafted lots of players with potential, but not
> much in the way of solid track records. It will take lots of good
> fortune to turn that potential into performance. It starts with the
> pitching, for sure. Lackey's recovery is a must. If he doesn't get
> healthy quickly, this team will be looking at 2009 quickly. But
> there are lots of young pitchers with a shot to put up decent
> seasons. The offense is also young with the potential to surprise.
> No speed, but otherwise a well balanced team. Best guess is that
> this team shoots for 2009, but it has a shot to make things
> interesting this year.
>
> 3. Riptorns -Came into the draft as the team to beat, but didn't
> get enough offense at the draft. Great pitching. Okay, really,
> really great pitching. This team ought to run away with wins, K's,
> ERA and ratio. No saves, but my guess is that Brad Lee will find a
> way to trade out of that problem. Too many holes in the offense
> means he'll have to trade out of that as well. More than enough
> pieces to make that happen and heaven knows Brad Lee will give it
> the old college try.
>
> 2. Red Hots - Top notch offense and decent pitching. Consider
> this: Hinske, German and Murphy occupy three of the offensive slots
> and this is still one of the best two offenses in the league. King
> Felix heads a potentially strong staff, but there are as many
> questions as answers. Is Lester healthy again and will he find the
> plate often enough? Is Garza for real or did Minnesota let him go
> for good reason? Is Paul Byrd still using the PED's and, if not,
> will his numbers suffer? Is Fernando Rodney's health going to be a
> problem? Well....you see what I mean. The pitching will be the
> challenge here. Plenty of top prospects and keepers to use as bait
> to fill any holes. The question, as always, is whether Rich can
> part with any of his prized players to make a run for the roses.
> History suggests he can't and he won't. If Rich bucks his
> instincts, this team can, and maybe, should win.
>
> 1. Hoosier Daddies - Maybe, just maybe, Rick gets the last
> "laffey". The eptiome of a well balanced team. Rick came to the
> table with a nice keeper list and then did exactly what he needed to
> do to fill in the gaps. A quietly terrific draft, Rick looks strong
> everywhere except power and strikeouts. Rick projects to the third
> best offense and the second best pitching. Its hard to take issue
> with this team, the frontrunner for the 2009 Damon. More than
> enough beans to fill in the gaps and deal with unexpected trouble.
>
> Let the games begin!!!!
>
> The King
>
>
>
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