[USML Announce] College Draft Update

Jeffrey Winick jwinick at harriswinick.com
Mon Jun 6 15:48:27 EDT 2011


Jim Callis of BBAmerica just released his last mock draft.  His projections were damn near perfect last year.  One exception, as always, was the Cubs who always seem to do something stupid.  In any event here we go (with my commentary in BOLD):

1. PIRATES: Pittsburgh's final decision came down to college pitching, meaning that Rendon did not make the final cut. Multiple sources have confirmed the Pirates will take Cole.
Projected Pick: Gerrit Cole.

IMPACT - BAD NEWS FOR RED HOTS WHO ALREADY HAD THIS GUY PACKED UP FOR A DEAL TO THE RIPTORNS

2. MARINERS: Nothing official yet, but the story remains the same in Seattle. The Mariners want a bat, with Rendon the frontrunner but Florida high school shortstop Francisco Lindor and Starling also considerations.
Projected Pick: Anthony Rendon.

IMPACT - IT JUST KEEPS GETTING BETTER FOR THE BERLINERS 2012 CAMPAIGN

3. DIAMONDBACKS: On Friday, I wrote that Hultzen to Arizona was the biggest lock in the first six picks. No longer. This decision comes down to Bauer or Bundy, both of whom the Diamondbacks also have liked for a while. If Cole and Bauer go 1-3, they'll match Arizona State's Bob Horner and Hubie Brooks in 1978.
Projected Pick: Trevor Bauer.

4. ORIOLES: Perhaps because of the exorbitant asking prices of Bundy ($30 million big league deal) and Hultzen ($13 million), Baltimore is looking at the other stud Oklahoma prep righthander, Archie Bradley. He has a leverage in the form of the opportunity to play quarterback at Oklahoma, but that also means his bonus can be spread over five years under provisions for two-sport athletes. The Orioles would love a shot at Bauer.
Projected Pick: Archie Bradley.

5. ROYALS: Kansas City suddenly gets to choose between Bundy and Hultzen after not expecting either to be on the board. The Royals want an advanced arm, and Bundy qualifies despite being a high schooler. If they opt for a bat, they could take Lindor over Starling.
Projected Pick: Dylan Bundy.

6. NATIONALS: Before the upheaval at the top of the draft, Washington was just going to wait to see which one of the six elite players would get here. Now the Nationals are going to have multiple options, and it will hard to pass on Hultzen, a local product.
Projected Pick: Danny Hultzen.

7. DIAMONDBACKS: Arizona's dream would be to somehow get Bauer and Hultzen, but that doesn't seem possible. They could get their pick of the next tier of college pitchers, a choice that would come down to Matt Barnes (Connecticut) and Sonny Gray (Vanderbilt). They also have interest in Lindor. This pick is unprotected, compensation for not signing first-rounder Barret Loux a year ago, so signability is an issue.
Projected Pick: Matt Barnes.

8. INDIANS: Cleveland might suddenly be faced with a decision on whether to take Starling, who is a better prospect than fellow two-sport star Donavan Tate, who got $6.25 million as the No. 3 overall pick in 2009. The Indians haven't taken a high school first-rounder since 2001. Grabbing Archie Bradley would be an easier call, and if he's gone they may go with a college arm such as Georgia Tech lefthander Jed Bradley, Texas righty Taylor Jungmann or Gray.
Projected Pick: Jed Bradley.

9. CUBS: Chicago will take a high-ceiling player, and no one has a higher ceiling than Starling. Other candidates include Archie Bradley or Lindor. If Rendon's shoulder injury starts driving teams away, this could be his landing spot.
Projected Pick: Bubba Starling.

10. PADRES: With an unprotected pick received for failing to sign 2010 first-rounder Karsten Whitson, San Diego is looking at college players. The Padres would consider Barnes, Bradley and Jungmann among the pitchers, and Connecticut outfielder George Springer and Indian River (Fla.) JC third baseman Cory Spangenberg among the hitters.
Projected Pick: Taylor Jungmann.

11. ASTROS: College pitchers are the strength of this draft, and Houston is in on Jed Bradley, Jungmann and Oregon lefthander Tyler Anderson. It would be hard to ignore Archie Bradley's upside or the fact that Lindor is the best surefire shortstop in the draft.
Projected Pick: Francisco Lindor.

12. BREWERS: Milwaukee could use a shortstop, and if Lindor is gone, Florida high schooler Javier Baez is the next-best option. The Mets also like Baez, so the Brewers couldn't afford to wait until their No. 15 selection, where they should have plenty of enticing arms available.
Projected Pick: Javier Baez.

13. METS: New York appears to prefer college arms, though Jungmann, Bradley and Barnes are may be gone. Other possibilities are Springer, Louisiana State outfielder Mikie Mahtook, North Carolina shortstop Levi Michael on the college side, as well as Baez, outfielder Brandon Nimmo (Wyoming) and righthander Taylor Guerrieri (South Carolina) among the high schoolers.
Projected Pick: Mikie Mahtook.

14. MARLINS: Florida drafted Mahtook in the 39th round out of high school in 2008 and may finally get their man-unless the Mets get to him first. The Marlins are linked mostly to college position players (Springer, Spangenberg), but don't rule out Baez.
Projected Pick: Cory Spangenberg.

15. BREWERS: Milwaukee has several pitching choices here. A polished college lefty in Anderson, a fast mover in Gray, more risk and reward with Kentucky righthander Alex Meyer or any number of high school arms, beginning with Guerrieri. This pick is unprotected, compensation for failing to sign Dylan Covey, their 2010 first-rounder.
Projected Pick: Taylor Guerrieri.

16. DODGERS: With owner Frank McCourt battling MLB for control of his team, there's no way Los Angeles exceeds the slot recommendation for this pick. That may rule out high schoolers such as Guerrieri and California righthander Robert Stephenson and lead the Dodgers to an easier-to-sign college guy. They've shown interest in Anderson all spring.
Projected Pick: Tyler Anderson.

17. ANGELS: Los Angeles is the floor for Lindor, but it would be surprising if he dropped this far. The best values on the board at this point could be high-upside prep pitchers like Guerrieri, Stephenson, Jose Fernandez (Florida) and Joe Ross (California).
Projected Pick: Jose Fernandez.

18. ATHLETICS: Oakland will take a college bat, with the candidates including Springer, Mahtook, Michael, Spangenberg and Utah first baseman C.J. Cron.
Projected Pick: George Springer.

IMPACT - FINALLY SOME GOOD NEWS FOR THE BOMBERS.  

Jeffrey H. Winick
Harris | Winick LLP
333 West Wacker Drive
Suite 2060
Chicago, IL  60606
(312) 662-4600
(312) 662-4602 (direct)
(312) 841-2817 (cell)

STATEMENT OF CONFIDENTIALITY, ATTORNEY-CLIENT PRIVILEGE & DISCLAIMER 
 
The information contained in this e-mail message is confidential information, protected by the attorney-client privilege and intended only for the use of the individual(s) or entity named above.  If the reader of this message is not the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution or copy of this communication is strictly prohibited.  If you have received this communication in error, please immediately notify the sender via telephone or e-mail and delete the message.  Thank you.
 
Although this e-mail and any attachments are believed to be free of any virus or other defect that might affect any computer systems into which it is received and opened, it is the responsibility of the recipient to ensure that it is virus free and no responsibility by Harris│Winick LLP for any loss or damage arising in any way from its use. 


-----Original Message-----
From: announce-bounces at usml.net [mailto:announce-bounces at usml.net] On Behalf Of Jeffrey Winick
Sent: Monday, June 06, 2011 10:37 AM
To: announce at usml.net
Subject: [USML Announce] College Draft Update

This is for the benefit of members of DUMP.  COPS members, if there are any left (Andy??) are free to ignore.

7 hours and 30 minutes left to draft time.

Keith Law at ESPN now says that Gerrit Cole (Red Hots) is a lock at #1 (to the NL) with Anthony Rendon (Berliners) #2 (to the AL).

Callis at Baseball America has changed up his projection and has Danny Hultzen (FA) at #1 but still with Rendon at #2.  He has Cole dropping all the way down to #5, but to the Royals.

More updates as they become available.

The King

  
_______________________________________________
announce mailing list
announce at usml.net
http://lists.usml.net/mailman/listinfo/announce



More information about the Announce mailing list