[USML Announce] Picks and Pans

Thu Feb 21 11:52:55 EST 2013

I brought them last year and am happy to bring them again.

On Thu, Feb 21, 2013 at 10:46 AM, Jim Barrett <chicagojab at gmail.com> wrote:

> I propose a new rule - last place team brings donuts.
>
> Sent from my iPhone
>
> On Feb 21, 2013, at 11:16 AM, Jeffrey Winick <jwinick at harriswinick.com>
> wrote:
>
>
>
> “peddle to Brad for a first-rate position player”****
>
> ** **
>
> Finally some acknowledgment of the Myers trade.  Or is this a reference to
> the Trout trade?  Or the Montero trade?  ;-)****
>
> ** **
>
> What time are we getting started on the 17th?  And who’s bringing the
> donuts this year?****
>
> ** **
>
> Jeff****
>
> ** **
>
> ** **
>
> *From:* announce-bounces at usml.net [mailto:announce-bounces at usml.net] *On
> Behalf Of *JOHN FRUIT
> *Sent:* Wednesday, February 20, 2013 4:50 AM
> *To:* announce at usml.net
> *Subject:* Re: [USML Announce] Picks and Pans****
>
> ** **
>
> sounds like Jeff needs to revert to the security analyst
> methodology:  strong
> buy/buy/sell/reduce/neutral/overweight/underweight/peddle to Brad for a
> first-rate position player.
>  ****
> ------------------------------
>
> To: announce at usml.net
> From: jhwinick at aol.com
> Date: Tue, 19 Feb 2013 20:20:22 -0500
> Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Picks and Pans
>
> A fair point.  But I think if you read the commentary, it makes it easier
> to determine whether the Pick/Pan was correct.  For example, Verlander and
> Cano were picks that were identified as safe bets to put up similar if not
> better numbers than the prior year.  Those are correct assessments since
> they did exactly what I predicted they'd do.  Most of time I identified not
> only that they were a pick or a pan, but I predicted what their performance
> would be.  My scorecard is based on a comparison of the descriptions as
> much as the tagline of Pick/Pan. ****
>
> ** **
>
> Jeff
>
> ****
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Blocker, Mark B. <mblocker at Sidley.com>
> To: USML Announcements <announce at usml.net>
> Sent: Tue, Feb 19, 2013 6:42 pm
> Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Picks and Pans****
>
> Jeff:  I actually went through this exercise last year, but never
> published the results.  The question I struggled with is how to assess
> whether a pick/pan was correct.  For example, if you label someone as a
> “pick,” and they have stats that are good but simply in line with prior
> years, is that pick “correct”?  I took “pick” to mean the player
> significantly outperformed expected stats and “pan” to meant the opposite.
> Otherwise, where is the real expertise?  Thoughts?****
>
>  ****
>
> In the end, I guess the beauty of being a pundit is that those terms are
> so loose you can declare yourself right most of the time, and maybe that,
> in and of itself, makes you a pundit!****
>
>  ****
>
>   -- Mark B.****
>
>  ****
>
> *From:* announce-bounces at usml.net [mailto:announce-bounces at usml.net<announce-bounces at usml.net?>]
> *On Behalf Of *Jeffrey Winick
> *Sent:* Tuesday, February 19, 2013 6:36 PM
> *To:* announce at usml.net
> *Subject:* [USML Announce] Picks and Pans****
>
>  ****
>
> Mr. B has always threatened to go back and look at the prior year's Picks
> and Pans and offer an assessment about how "expert" the so-called expert
> really is. ****
>
>  ****
>
> Well, curiosity got the best of me and I've finally done it.  Bottom line
> - I'm far better at assessing pitching than hitting.  There were some real
> clunkers last year:  (Crawford, Dunn, Granderson and Jeter) and (Darvish,
> Pineda and Santos), but there were lots of excellent ones as well:  (Braun,
> Butler, Cabrera, Doumit) and (Dickey, Sale, Scherzer and Zimmerman).****
>
>  ****
>
> Of my 22 hitting Picks/Pan, I got 13 right (59%).  Of my 19 pitching
> Picks/Pan, I got 14 right (74%).****
>
>  ****
>
> Here's the full list:****
>
>  ****
>
> Bobby Abreu – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> Elvis Andrus – PICK - INCORRECT****
>
> Erick Aybar – PICK – INCORRECT****
>
> Brandon Belt – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> Ryan Braun – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Jay Bruce – PICK - CORRECT****
>
> Billy Butler – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Miguel Cabrera – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Robinson Cano – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> *Carl Crawford – PICK – INCORRECT*****
>
> Ryan Doumit – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> *Adam Dunn – PAN – INCORRECT*****
>
> Jacoby Ellsbury – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> David Freese – PAN – INCORRECT****
>
> *Curtis Granderson – PAN – INCORRECT*****
>
> Eric Hosmer – PICK – INCORRECT****
>
> *Derek Jeter – PAN – INCORRECT*****
>
> Jesus Montero – PICK – INCORRECT****
>
> Justin Morneau – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Martin Prado – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Jayson Werth – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> Matt Wieters – PICK – CORRECT****
>
>  ****
>
> Heath Bell – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> *Yu Darvish – PAN – INCORRECT*****
>
> RA Dickey – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Cole Hamels – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Tommy Hanson – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> Kenley Jansen – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Ubaldo Jimenez – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> Mat Latos – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Matt Moore – PICK - CORRECT****
>
> Bud Norris – PICK – INCORRECT****
>
> *Michael Pineda – PICK – INCORRECT*****
>
> David Robertson – PICK – INCORRECT****
>
> Chris Sale – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> *Sergio Santos – PICK – INCORRECT*****
>
> Max Scherzer – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Huston Street – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Justin Verlander – PICK – CORRECT****
>
> Jordan Walden – PAN – CORRECT****
>
> Jordan Zimmerman – PICK - CORRECT****
>
>  ****
>
> Jeff****
>
>  ****
>
>
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-- 
Dennis F. Adams III
Candidate, Juris Doctor 2013
Northwestern University School of Law
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