Pippin the Dog's 1995 USML Projections
A. History
In 1991, the legendary Candyass splashed onto the USML
projection scene by responding to Jeff Winick's annual post-draft
self-coronation. That year, Mr. Winick declared his 'Berliners a
certain champion just minutes after the USML concluded its
traditional April auction. Mr. Winick picked the Klein Nine to
finish ninth.
Despite derisive cackles from Mr. Winick's dictatorial
sidekick (Mark Blocker), Candyass boldly predicted the Klein Nine
to win the USML crown. The rest, of course, is glorious history.
The Klein Nine went "wire to wire" in winning the
coveted World Championship. The Win-Ick-Ben-Ein-Berliners
finished a distant fourth.
For the next two seasons, Candyass weighed in with projections
after the annual USML auction. Unlike other prognosticators (such
as Rich "I fill John Benson's wallet" Robbins),
Candyass never relied on publications, algebraic equations, or
computer programs that eat available RAM like Alex Liberman
devours red meat. Instead, Candyass relied on instinct and guile,
much the way the owner of the Klein Nine plays the game.
In 1993, Candyass added a commentator to his staff: Pippin the
Dog. At the time, no one could have foreseen Pippin's incredible
gift for Rotisserie clairvoyance. But, when the dust settled,
Pippin's 1993 predictions were astoundingly accurate.
In 1994, Pippin proved that her 1993 performance was no fluke.
Recall, for example, several of Pippin's 1994 prognostications
...
- Pippin the Dog on the Winickohns: "Pippin the Dog is
not especially impressed with Winick's roster. She thinks
the rookies with hot Aprils will fade. She also thinks
that Winick's offense has more 'empty slot' than a
bankrupt New Jersey casino." The rookies faded and
Winick's brutally-bad offense tallied a meager 12 points.
As Pippin predicted, the Winickohns finished seventh.
- Pippin the Dog on Democrats for Nixon: "[Liberman
will finish out of the money because he drafted] the
wrong Alomar (Sandy instead of Roberto), the wrong Smith
(Dwight instead of Lee), and the wrong Kirby (Wayne
instead of Puckett)." Liberman could have bought
Kirby Puckett alone and generated more power than his
feeble triumvirate produced.
- Pippin the Dog on the Rothmaniacs: "[This franchise
cannot be saved] from its achilles' heels: high-ratio
pitching and idiosyncratic drafting." Led by the
likes of Detroit ace John Doherty (1.628), the
Rothmaniacs finished eighth in ratio en route to a last
place finish.
Pippin also fared well in forecasting league leaders. Pippin
correctly projected that the Klein Nine, the Red Hots, and the
Angry Young Men would emerge as 1994's three best squads. As Alex
Liberman once said: "Pippin is truly the Nostradamus of
Rotisserie Baseball." Without further ado, Pippin's picks
follow.
B. The Projections
- MARK BLOCKER'S FOUR LEAF CLOVERS: After hyperventilating
through three weeks of rules disputes, The High Lord
Commissioner finally made it to Draft Day. Pippin the Dog
thinks that the extra oxygen did Mark some good. Unlike
1994, the Clovers bought vast amounts of power
(Tettleton, Palmeiro, Greg Vaughn, Gonzales, and Olerud)
and more saves than Tony Esposito. Despite a lack of
speed, Pippin feels that the Clover's renowned good
fortune will place the Clovers atop the USML in 1995.
- THE DEFENDING WORLD CHAMPION KLEIN NINE: In 1994, the
Klein Nine definitively proved itself the USML's premier
franchise. Adopting a breathtaking
"pitchers-be-damned" draft strategy, the Nine
bought tons of offense and coasted to victory. So
complete was the Nine's domination, Pippin hears that the
players went on strike simply to save the rest of the
USML from further embarrassment. The Nine remains a
contender in '95. The Klein offense features thumpers
Griffey, McGwire, and Ventura. The Klein bullpen is
anchored by Big Lee Smith. As for starters ... Pippin
says: "Who needs 'em!"
- JOSEPH'S RED HOTS: Pippin the Dog gives Rich points for
paying attention. In 1993, Pippin chastised Rich for his
ill-fated use of a laptop on draft day. In 1994, Rich
left the laptop at home. In 1994, Pippin chastised Rich
for drafting ancient players. In 1995, Rich supplemented
his Geritol Gang (Boggs, Carter, Nixon, Molitor,
Eckersley) with guys so young they can't yet drink (Tony
Clark, Denny Hocking, Sherman Obando, Ron Villone).
Someday, Rich will realize that some players are actually
in their prime. When he does, Pippin thinks he'll
challenge for a title. Someday isn't here yet.
- RIPTORNS (a.k.a. "Winick's Friends Who Like the
White Sox"): In a maneuver not seen since the heyday
of Rick ("I'll buy all the Orioles") Gammons,
the Riptorns spent more than 40% of their money on
players from one team ($108 on the White Sox's Thomas,
Hernandez, Durham, Ruffcorn, and Baldwin). Fortunately
for the Riptorns, their White Sox players are good.
Unfortunately for the Riptorns, the rest of their players
are not. The outfield trio of Mieske, Hosey, and Flora is
obscure enough to play for the Rothmaniacs. And the NL
pitcher strategy (Hershiser, Tewksbury, and Gross) won't
work. Nonetheless, Pippin feels that the Riptorns bought
enough Chicago talent to finish in the money in '95.
- HOOSIER DADDIES: Late in the 1995 draft, the Gammons
franchise finally matured. The moment occurred when Rich
Robbins suddenly called out, "Sherman Obando, one
dollar!" All eyes turned toward Gammons. "Going
once," cried Emily. Rick bit his tongue.
"Sherman Obando going twice." Robbins winced.
"Sherman Obando sold to the Red Hots!" Pippin
the Dog recalls a day when Rick could not have contained
himself. Pippin also wonders how good the Hoosier Daddies
would be if Rick had matured slightly earlier -- for
example, on cut-down day when he could have dumped Arthur
Rhodes and Jeffrey Hammonds. While Pippin doesn't foresee
Gammons in the money this year, she views the Hoosier
Daddies as a team on the rise ... that is, unless they
retain Curtis Goodwin at $16 for 1996!
- WIN-ICK-BEN-EIN-BERLINERS: Despite the Great Rookie
Debacle of '94, Winick chose to do battle with his young
troops (Delgado, Ramirez, Sele, etc.) intact. On draft
day, the USML held its collective breath, waiting for The
Emir to supplement his Kiddie Corps with proven talent.
Roberto Alomar, perhaps? Nope. Winick drafts Luis Alicea.
Albert Belle? Try Tom Goodwin. How about John Wetteland?
Nah. Instead the 'Berliners take Jeff Russell, Darren
Oliver, and Grame Lloyd (SEVEN dollars for Grame
Lloyd??!!). It's put up or shut time for Winick, who last
won a title during the Bush Administration. Pippin feels
that sixth place is about right.
- ANGRY YOUNG MEN: Pippin the Dog is sick and tired of
praising Linton and then watching him falter. This year,
Pippin won't make the same mistake. Pippin is initially
skeptical of any franchise that spends $24 on a pair of
Valentins (no doubt a world record). Pippin becomes even
more doubtful when the Valentins' supporting cast
includes the likes of Shumpert, Leius, Kreuter, Myers,
and Devereaux. Finally, Pippin wonders where Linton is
going to find his innings. Three-man rotations (Linton
has Bosio, Johnson, and Gordon) went out of style about
the time the Cubs last won a World Series. At the rate
things are going, Pippin thinks that the AYM might become
the Cubs of the USML.
- ROTHMANIACS: Apparently, the Benson Number Crunchers
(i.e. Winick and Kerber) are projecting great things for
the Rothmaniacs in 1995. Pippin the Dog concedes that no
one deserves a banner campaign more than Emily. But
Pippin also knows that six-starter staffs are a recipe
for ratio disaster -- especially when that staff includes
Mark Gubicza, an out-of-shape Wilson Alvarez, and some
guy named Wasdin. Pippin also feels that Emily doesn't
have the offense to make up for her pitching problems:
the outfield trio of Aldrete, Hudler, and Edmonds
couldn't scare a little league pitcher. At least Emily
won't be completely disappointed ... after years of
trying, she finally got Travis Fryman!
- NUKES: Pippin the Dog feels that Kerber might be
dangerous if he stopped yammering on Draft Day and
actually paid attention. Instead, the Nukes gave the
league his best Mel Kiper imitation while assembling a
mediocre collection of players. Kerber's troops include a
Cubs' reject (Derrick May), a $16 backup infielder (Brent
Gates), an injured, ancient shortstop (Alan Trammell),
and two useless Angels (Easley and Perez). As if to prove
Pippin's point, the Nukes closed out the draft by
destroying a potentially decent pitching staff with the
addition of Todd Stottlemyre. Pippin looks forward to
another season of Nukes wheeling and dealing ... someone
will appreciate his transactions fees come October!
- MARKED TO THE MARKET (a.k.a. "Winick's
Brother"): Pippin the Dog knew it was bad when she
learned that Mark Winick spent much of the draft
listening to whispers from his brother. The results were
predictable: A six-starter staff (led by noted
ratio-wrecker Kenny Rogers) and an offense that might
challenge for the worst batting average of all-time.
Pippin notes that the Market's worst picks at least
provide cover for some of the more dubious 'Berliner
selections. For example, Alicea at $7 doesn't look so bad
compared to Barberie at $11. And Mayne at a buck is a
bargain compared to Karko (and his .210 batting average)
for $4. In short, Pippin declares the 1995 season
"October of '29" for the newest Winick
franchise.