[USML Announce] Baseball Draft

springkerb at aol.com springkerb at aol.com
Wed Jun 8 11:16:58 EDT 2005


$10 rookies?  Not super-common, but not particularly rare, either.  Baldelli and Crawford come to mind without thinking about it very hard or going back more than a couple of years.  Advanced college hitters like Gordon and Clement are particularly good candidates to succeed quickly--think about John Olerud, Dave Winfield and Barry Bonds, or more recently Mark Teixiera.  And my guys all have $2 salaries, so it's not like there's any downside risk.
 
I agree with the comment on rookie pitchers, though.  They are nothing but rolls of the dice.
 
Mark
 
-----Original Message-----
From: JHWinick at aol.com
To: announce at usml.net
Sent: Wed, 8 Jun 2005 09:28:11 EDT
Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Baseball Draft


In a message dated 6/8/2005 8:23:44 AM Central Daylight Time, springkerb at aol.com writes:
These guys are not "nascent" magic beans.  They are real magic beans--and two of them are probably closer to sprouting than most minor league prospects.
 
Gordon will probably be pushing Mark Teahen out of KC by next year.  And Miguel Olivo's tenure in Seattle is now looking almost as short.
 
Mark 
 

All true, but let's now talk hard facts.  When's the last time a highly touted rookie put up a $10 rookie season?  It sure doesn't happen very often.  For example, Alex Rodriguez sucked as a rotisserie player for almost two full seasons.  The same can generally be said for all of the highly touted rookie pitchers.  And how many runs is Alex Gordon going to drive in for that power-packed KC lineup?
 
Don't get me wrong - sometimes these magic beans sprout.  And I'd love to have Gordon and Clement on my roster.  But, all in all, I think the safest bet is always sending them to Robbins.
 
Jeff
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