[USML Announce] Baseball Draft

[JHWinick at aol.com]

In a message dated 6/8/2005 10:17:25 A.M. Central Daylight Time,  
springkerb at aol.com writes:

$10 rookies?  Not super-common, but not particularly rare,  either.  Baldelli 
and Crawford come to mind without thinking about it  very hard or going back 
more than a couple of years.  Advanced college  hitters like Gordon and 
Clement are particularly good candidates to succeed  quickly--think about John 
Olerud, Dave Winfield and Barry Bonds, or more  recently Mark Teixiera.  And my 
guys all have $2 salaries, so  it's not like there's any downside risk.
 
I agree with the comment on rookie pitchers, though.  They are  nothing but 
rolls of the dice.
 
Mark



Not super rare? I beg to differ.  Olerud, Winfield and Bonds are all  old 
enough that they pre-date most of our rotisserie involvement and, as you'll  see 
below, their rookie campaigns were hardly stellar.  Baldelli  wasn't 
particularly highly touted, so I don't think he fairly  qualifies.  And he sure did 
fade after a hot start.  Crawford put up 2  HR, 30 RBI and 9 SB's his rookie 
year.  Not a very valuable effort.   Olerud - 14-48-0 .265.  $10? I don't think 
so.  Bonds - 16-28-36  .223.  The 36 stolen bases probably get him to double 
digits in value, but  the .223 average means he wasn't worth too much more.  And 
Bonds is a hall  of famer.  You really think the likes of Alex Gordon and Jeff 
Clement are  going to do better?
 
I appreciate the puffery.  I'm taking notes for future pitches to  Blocker 
and Robbins.  But I think the proof is in the pudding and most of  these magic 
beans never sprout.
 
Jeff
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