[USML Announce] Baseball Draft

springkerb at aol.com springkerb at aol.com
Wed Jun 8 11:46:41 EDT 2005


It's fun to imagine how different Jeff's messages would have been if his college guys had landed in the AL.  Hey Jeff, pass me the sour grapes, will you?
 
Mark 
 
-----Original Message-----
From: JHWinick at aol.com
To: announce at usml.net
Sent: Wed, 8 Jun 2005 11:42:11 EDT
Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Baseball Draft


In a message dated 6/8/2005 10:17:25 A.M. Central Daylight Time, springkerb at aol.com writes:
$10 rookies?  Not super-common, but not particularly rare, either.  Baldelli and Crawford come to mind without thinking about it very hard or going back more than a couple of years.  Advanced college hitters like Gordon and Clement are particularly good candidates to succeed quickly--think about John Olerud, Dave Winfield and Barry Bonds, or more recently Mark Teixiera.  And my guys all have $2 salaries, so it's not like there's any downside risk.
 
I agree with the comment on rookie pitchers, though.  They are nothing but rolls of the dice.
 
Mark
Not super rare? I beg to differ.  Olerud, Winfield and Bonds are all old enough that they pre-date most of our rotisserie involvement and, as you'll see below, their rookie campaigns were hardly stellar.  Baldelli wasn't particularly highly touted, so I don't think he fairly qualifies.  And he sure did fade after a hot start.  Crawford put up 2 HR, 30 RBI and 9 SB's his rookie year.  Not a very valuable effort.  Olerud - 14-48-0 .265.  $10? I don't think so.  Bonds - 16-28-36 .223.  The 36 stolen bases probably get him to double digits in value, but the .223 average means he wasn't worth too much more.  And Bonds is a hall of famer.  You really think the likes of Alex Gordon and Jeff Clement are going to do better?
 
I appreciate the puffery.  I'm taking notes for future pitches to Blocker and Robbins.  But I think the proof is in the pudding and most of these magic beans never sprout.
 
Jeff
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