[USML Announce] Peralta - Swisher Update

[Andrew R. Klein]

Jeff-

This expert analysis stuff is still hard for me to follow.

You start by saying:  "When us high powered experts get together, we'll 
take a look at ALL of the numbers, including the entire season."  This 
suggests that we should discount Swisher's miserable second half.

Then you pick on poor Coco by saying: "/*Since June 30th*/, his numbers 
are .254-5-18-27 with 13 stolen bases", implying Coco is less valuable 
because of a relatively weak second half.

Then you say the Bombers are lucky because they can keep Swisher at two 
bucks.  But earlier you argued that Swisher's value was in Mark's 
ability to extend his contract. 

I'm very confused.  And I'll almost surely be buying you lunch.  But no 
way I owe Mark an apology.  He wuz robbed!

-Andy


JHWinick at aol.com wrote:
> In a message dated 9/9/2006 7:36:37 A.M. Central Daylight Time, 
> anrklein at yahoo.com writes:
>
>     So, Jeff, when you and the gurus put dollar values on Peralta and
>     Swisher next year, will an outfielder with 1/2 season numbers of
>     .228-11-35-34 really be more than a shortstop with .265-5-26-26?
>
> Professor,
>  
> When us high powered experts get together, we'll take a look at ALL of 
> the numbers, including the entire season, and those numbers paint a 
> little different picture:
>  
> Nick Swisher has full-season numbers of .253-30-84-92
> Jhonny Peralta has full-season numbers of .255-12-60-80
>  
> You really think its a tough call to decide which one is more 
> valuable, regardless of position?
>  
> And I figured you'd bring up Coco and his stolen bases, so I examined 
> his other numbers:
>  
> Since June 30th, his numbers are .254-5-18-27 with 13 stolen bases.  
> For the season, his numbers are .265-8-31-55 and 20 stolen bases.  The 
> high powered experts aren't going to be too impressed with this guy 
> either.
>  
> As for Cantu, as you may recall, I'm not a fan.  His complete absence 
> of strike zone judgment has caught up with him.  But compare his 
> numbers to Peralta and his miserable performance gets a little 
> context.  For the season:  .242-12-57-37 and a stolen base.  The 
> bottom line is that both Cantu and Peralta are worthless as keepers.  
> The difference is that PT/KR would have been STUCK with Peralta at $7 
> and he can cut Cantu.  Advantage PT/KR.
>  
> And, as between Swisher and Coco, PT/KR can keep Swisher for $2 next 
> year (which he certainly should) or he would be STUCK keeping Coco 
> Crisp for $7.
>  
> So, despite your having excoriated PT/KR for his decision to take 
> Doug's offer rather than yours, the truth is that, in 
> retrospect, neither of you offered him much and you offered LESS.  
>  
> I stand by my statement that you owe PT/KR an apology.  As between you 
> and Doug, PT/KR clearly made the right choice.  Now, might he have 
> been better off if he'd allowed Rich to hold him hostage?  Well.......
>  
> Jeff Winick
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
>
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