[USML Announce] Fwd:FW: Fwd:Re: 2012 Draft Day Self- Brats

JOHN FRUIT (FAF ADVISORS INC.) jfruit1 at bloomberg.net
Mon Mar 12 15:04:31 EDT 2012


 apologize if this is a duplicate, I tried e-mailing from a different e-mail    
address and it didn't appear it had went out.  This is 2nd attempt to forward   
to the group.
---- Original Message From: John Fruit <John.Fruit at nuveen.com> At:  3/12 14:02:27


-----Original Message-----
From: Fruit, John (Minneapolis) 
Sent: Monday, March 12, 2012 10:43 AM
To: 'announce at usml.net'
Subject: RE: Fwd:Re: [USML Announce] 2012 Draft Day Self-Analysis: Brats

Draft day strategy;

Obtain one of the big boppers at 1B at a reasonable pay-up to Miguel Cabrera's $39 retention salary, swear off Justin Morneau, and to keep the country music background noise to a hushed level so as not to incur the wrath of Dennis and Doug.  Given a decent retention roster, make relatively safe picks.

What went right;

Not much. Cabrera at $43 is what I would have expected and so was fine with that.  Although I didn't really need starting pitching,  Morrow at $18, Masterson at $12, and Pavano in the rotation draft should make for a relatively good starting staff.

What went wrong;

Overpaying for Cespedes ($25) and M. Brantley ($18)at OF when guys like Nelson Cruz and Nick Markakis went for $28 and $23 respectively.  Planned on being able to get back the un-retained JJ Hardy for his $19 retention price but then didn't pull the trigger and ended up with A. Escobar at $20, who is likely to disappoint.  Finally, ended up with too many longshots in the saves department, and spent handsomely to do so, a combined $18 on Pestano, Glenn Perkins and Joey Devine.  And Brandon Allen at Ute most certainly was not a safe pick, but more likely a Kila Ka'auhui starter kit.

-----Original Message-----
From: JOHN FRUIT (FAF ADVISORS INC.) [mailto:jfruit1 at bloomberg.net] 
Sent: Monday, March 12, 2012 9:08 AM
To: Fruit, John (Minneapolis)
Subject: Fwd:Re: [USML Announce] 2012 Draft Day Self-Analysis: 


---- Original Message From: announce at usml.net At:  3/12  6:49:28 OK, I'll try.


Draft Day Strategy:


Don't over-study.  Clear my mind.  Let the Zen of the moment guide my thoughts and actions.
See if Brad will still do the Robertson/Salty deal so I can get out of the catcher mosh pit.
Get some quality hitters.
Don't buy a second established closer (unless I get one cheap), but pick up some quality arms that could fall into some saves.

What went right:

Nailed the Zen thing.  Had a long bike ride and a nice Italian dinner on Saturday.  Knew nothing on Sunday.  Ignorance is beautiful.
Got the deal done.  Didn't have to buy a catcher.  (Waiting to see a constitutional amendment proposed to outlaw future pre-draft deals.) Got plenty of power at least.
I think I got that last one done.  Check with me in August.
Herrera (1), Porcello (4).

What went wrong:


Ended up with about 12 guys I know absolutely nothing about.  Who are these guys?
Didn't get a deal done with Robbins at the end of the draft.  I was shooting for bookend trades.
Got 14 clones of Rob Deer.  Looking at an all-time franchise record for lowest BA.
Ate both a chocolate donut and a jelly donut at the same draft--donut equivalent of meat and dairy.
Konerko (26), Jeter (21), Reynolds (18)--WTF?

-----Original Message-----
From: Brad Jansen <bljansen at gmail.com>
To: USML Announcements <announce at usml.net>
Sent: Sun, Mar 11, 2012 9:06 pm
Subject: [USML Announce] 2012 Draft Day Self-Analysis: Riptorns


Great to see everyone. Dennis, welcome my friend to the show that never ends. Jim B, congrats and all the best to your wife and you. And to everybody else, it was great to see everyone looking so moderately healthy.

Now, let me propose something. This proposal certainly is not intended to displace Jeffrey's typically self-serving analysis of the draft, but I ask each team to consider posting its own critical and objective analysis of its draft day performance.  

I will begin:

DRAFT DAY STRATEGY:
   * Avoid drafting Shoppach and Cervelli again.
   * Corner the market on SB by getting one more impact SB guy.
   * Draft decent SP for under $20.
   * Draft one reasonably priced thumper.  
   * Pick up enough sleepers and keepers via auction and rotation draft to shop to Winick when his team crashes and burns in June.

WHAT WENT RIGHT
   * Arrived too late to gorge on doughnuts.
   * Personally escorted to draft by always affable Mark Kerber.
   * Elvis at 27, nice SPs from 7 to 17.
   * Restocked the Prospect Parade (Segura-1, yes!!).

WHAT WENT WRONG
   * Arrived too late to gorge on doughnuts.
   * Personally escorted to draft by always affable Mark Kerber.
   * Lind-21, Smoak-12, no thumpers and Andrus surrounded by the likes of Getz and Brignac.


OK--who's next??
   


 
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Material based on data from sources deemed reliable; accuracy/completeness not guaranteed. Not for use as a primary basis of investment decisions; not to be construed to meet needs of any investor. Not a representation or solicitation of an offer to sell/buy any security. Securities may not be eligible for solicitation in all states. Opinions subject to change. Past performance does not guarantee future results.


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