[USML Announce] Bayes Watch

[Brad Jansen]

Sorry, Kerbs, I was a liberal arts guy. Stats scared me off, which is why I
always consult Winick before making trades, especially trades with him.
Speaking of: What's the probability of me dumping to the Berliners for....I
don't know, Joey Gallo?
--Brad Lee

On Mon, Jul 29, 2013 at 6:03 PM, <springkerb at aol.com> wrote:

> I'd prefer to think of it as Bayesian. (The reference will be either
> painfully obvious or ridiculously obscure. Who's on which side? Show of
> hands, please.)
>
>
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: bljansen at gmail.com
> To: USML Announcements **
> Sent: Mon, Jul 29, 2013 1:13 pm
> Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Between A-Rod And A Hard Place
>
>  Kerbs, that's very Shandler-like of you. Updated projections are most
> helpful.
> --Brad
>
> On Mon, Jul 29, 2013 at 5:02 PM, <springkerb at aol.com> wrote:
>
> I think I need to update my prior projection regarding whether A-Rod will
> play in 2014.  I had previously said "better than 50/50."  I'm now going
> with "less than 50/50."
>
>
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Brad Jansen <bljansen at gmail.com>
> To: USML Announcements <announce at usml.net>
> Sent: Mon, Jul 29, 2013 4:36 pm
> Subject: [USML Announce] Between A-Rod And A Hard Place
>
> *ITEM*
> *
> *
> From mlb.com:
>  But one thing has become exceedingly clear, based on several published
> reports this weekend and on Monday: [Alex Rodriguez]  soon will be punished
> by Major League Baseball.
> The New York Post first reported Sunday that Rodriguez could be suspended
> this week as part of baseball's investigation into the now-shuttered
> Biogenesis clinic, a South Florida operation run by Anthony Bosch, who has
> cooperated with MLB investigators. Last week, Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun
> accepted a 65-game suspension -- the remainder of the season -- for his
> reported involvement with Bosch and Biogenesis
>  *LOSER*
>  Klein Nine. Team's owner comes under increasing League scrutiny after
> series of questionable deals, including but not limited to his trade to
> acquire A-Rod while an all but certain suspension looms, then one week
> later trading away Jhonny Peralta (Y1-$12; career BA of .275, hitting .305
> this season with 10 HR and 53 RBI), claiming that he did so because....a
> suspension looms, as owner *PREPARES TO LAWYER UP. *
>
>  *WINNER*
>
> USML's Office of the Inspector General. League budget will be increased in
> off-season to fund and support OIG's investigations and audits as targets,
> to wit the Klein Nine, *START FEELING THE HEAT. *
>
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