[USML Announce] Bayes Watch

Blocker, Mark B. mblocker at Sidley.com
Mon Jul 29 19:13:48 EDT 2013


Did you say Jerry Callow, or Jerry Gallo?

From: announce-bounces at usml.net [mailto:announce-bounces at usml.net] On Behalf Of Brad Jansen
Sent: Monday, July 29, 2013 6:12 PM
To: USML Announcements
Subject: [USML Announce] Bayes Watch

Sorry, Kerbs, I was a liberal arts guy. Stats scared me off, which is why I always consult Winick before making trades, especially trades with him. Speaking of: What's the probability of me dumping to the Berliners for....I don't know, Joey Gallo?
--Brad Lee
On Mon, Jul 29, 2013 at 6:03 PM, <springkerb at aol.com<mailto:springkerb at aol.com>> wrote:
I'd prefer to think of it as Bayesian. (The reference will be either painfully obvious or ridiculously obscure. Who's on which side? Show of hands, please.)




-----Original Message-----
From: bljansen at gmail.com<mailto:bljansen at gmail.com>
To: USML Announcements
Sent: Mon, Jul 29, 2013 1:13 pm
Subject: Re: [USML Announce] Between A-Rod And A Hard Place
Kerbs, that's very Shandler-like of you. Updated projections are most helpful.
--Brad
On Mon, Jul 29, 2013 at 5:02 PM, <springkerb at aol.com<mailto:springkerb at aol.com>> wrote:
I think I need to update my prior projection regarding whether A-Rod will play in 2014.  I had previously said "better than 50/50."  I'm now going with "less than 50/50."

-----Original Message-----
From: Brad Jansen <bljansen at gmail.com<mailto:bljansen at gmail.com>>
To: USML Announcements <announce at usml.net<mailto:announce at usml.net>>
Sent: Mon, Jul 29, 2013 4:36 pm
Subject: [USML Announce] Between A-Rod And A Hard Place
ITEM

>From mlb.com<http://mlb.com/>:
But one thing has become exceedingly clear, based on several published reports this weekend and on Monday: [Alex Rodriguez]  soon will be punished by Major League Baseball.
The New York Post first reported Sunday that Rodriguez could be suspended this week as part of baseball's investigation into the now-shuttered Biogenesis clinic, a South Florida operation run by Anthony Bosch, who has cooperated with MLB investigators. Last week, Brewers outfielder Ryan Braun accepted a 65-game suspension -- the remainder of the season -- for his reported involvement with Bosch and Biogenesis
LOSER
Klein Nine. Team's owner comes under increasing League scrutiny after series of questionable deals, including but not limited to his trade to acquire A-Rod while an all but certain suspension looms, then one week later trading away Jhonny Peralta (Y1-$12; career BA of .275, hitting .305 this season with 10 HR and 53 RBI), claiming that he did so because....a suspension looms, as owner PREPARES TO LAWYER UP.

WINNER

USML's Office of the Inspector General. League budget will be increased in off-season to fund and support OIG's investigations and audits as targets, to wit the Klein Nine, START FEELING THE HEAT.

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