[USML Announce] Sabremetric Anomoly

[Andrew Klein]

That's interesting stuff, Frank.  (But, be careful, or you'll start 
sounding like Winick ...)

Seriously, though, there's a lot of season left.  So isn't this a 
suggestion that the Jays should have a good second half?  And, if so, 
let's hope it's behind the bat of Jose Bautista!!

-Andy

On 7/21/2015 6:31 PM, Frank Luby wrote:
> Hi Mark,
>
> If you use the adjusted Bill James Pythagorean for,mula (used by 
> baseball-reference.com), the Cardinals should have a winning 
> percentage of .640 and have 59 wins right now. In reality that have 58 
> wins, so they are performing in line with their run differential and 
> their very strong pitching. (Not all run differentials are the same; 
> the Jays' is qualitatively much worse because they give too many runs)
>
> The Blue Jays should be playing .589 ball and should have 55 wins vs. 
> their current 47. This gap is often explained by bad luck (or a 
> horrible bullpen), which manifests itself in a bad record in close 
> games. Through the end of May, the Jays were 5-15 in games decided by 
> one or two runs.
>
> That may explain the discrepancy.
>
> Thoughts?
>
> Best wishes from Area 51 (as in 51-111 in honor of the 2013 Astros and 
> the 2015 Lubeasts)
>
> - Frank
>
> Why are the Jays terrible in close games this century? 
> <http://www.bluebirdbanter.com/2015/5/28/8676745/why-are-the-jays-terrible-in-close-games-this-century>
> 	
> image 
> <http://www.bluebirdbanter.com/2015/5/28/8676745/why-are-the-jays-terrible-in-close-games-this-century>
> 	
> 	
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> 	
> 	
> Why are the Jays terrible in close games this century? 
> <http://www.bluebirdbanter.com/2015/5/28/8676745/why-are-the-jays-terrible-in-close-games-this-century> 
>
> It should come as no surprise to anyone who's paid much attention to 
> the Jays this year that they've got an awful record in close games. 
> With yesterday's 10th innin...
>
> View on www.bluebirdbanter.com 
> <http://www.bluebirdbanter.com/2015/5/28/8676745/why-are-the-jays-terrible-in-close-games-this-century>
> 	
> Preview by Yahoo
>
>
>
>
>
> On Tuesday, July 21, 2015 6:10 PM, Mark Blocker 
> <blockermark at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> Jeff/others:
>
>   Just curious about the following statistic.  The Toronto Blue Jays 
> have outscored their opponents by 89 runs (and have scored 80 more 
> runs than any other team in baseball), yet have a .500 record.  For 
> comparison, the St. Louis Cardinals are plus 100, but they are 24 
> games over .500.  The Toronto stat has to be some sort of 
> record-setting anomaly. How could that be?
>
>   -- Mark
>
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